Trafalgar: What does the Accurate Pollster that showed Trump would Win Say on the CA Recall of the Tyrant Newsom?

 

 The Biden/Newsom Flag

The AMAC Newsline showed that Trafalgar Group "Keeps Getting It Right":

There is, however, one pollster who has consistently outperformed the others during the Trump era. That is the Trafalgar Group.  

In 2016, the Trafalgar Group’s polling data did not just show that Trump would win the presidency, it accurately showed that Trump would get 306 electoral votes and that he would win Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Michigan, Florida, and Wisconsin, something virtually no one else was predicting.

In 2018, the Trafalgar Group released a poll showing Ron DeSantis winning the Florida Governor’s race. By contrast, the New York Times poll for that race showed Democrat Andrew Gillum up by 5 points and an NBC News poll showed Gillum winning by 4 points. DeSantis won the race on election day as the Trafalgar poll had predicted.

In 2020, polling from the Trafalgar Group had the lowest average error of virtually any other polling group in the nation, beating out polls from the New York Times, ABC News, the Washington Post, and even Rasmussen. Trafalgar Group polling correctly showed Trump winning North Carolina, Ohio, Texas, and Florida and accurately showed that the Wisconsin race would be decided within a 1-point margin.

AMAC Newsline recently interviewed the CEO of the Trafalgar Group, Robert Cahaly, to discuss why his polls often get it right when the media and even Republican pollsters keep getting it wrong...

...  When asked whether media polling with an overwhelming statistical bias toward Democrats amounts to “suppression” polling, as Trump alleges, Cahaly said: “It’s either done on purpose or its incompetence. So many so-called political pollsters also continue to get it wrong who poll for the Republican Party.”

One major example of polling failures in both the 2016 and 2020 elections was in gauging minority support for Republicans. Cahaly notes that Hispanics especially supported Republicans and President Trump, and not just in Florida and Texas. “It was all across the country, in Massachusetts and Wisconsin and California. When you talk to the polling establishment, they said the exit polls don’t indicate that. But you have to ask, how are they doing the exit polling? People are going to be less honest with you in person in exit polls when someone has a clipboard or an iPad.”

Cahaly thinks Trump’s true gains with minorities have been underreported. “I will tell you that across the country Trump did better than 35% with Hispanics as an average and he did better than 25% with African-Americans,” he said. [https://min.amac.us/trafalgar-the-pollster-that-keeps-getting-it-right/]

Wikipedia reported that Joe Biden Steal was a "win" and that accurate Trafalgar showed Donald Trump would win:

Before the 2020 United States presidential election, Trafalgar Group said that Trump would win the election easily, estimating that he would win Arizona, Florida, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, and Pennsylvania.^[13] Joe Biden won the election with 306 electoral votes and succeeded in winning Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, and Pennsylvania.^[14] According to FiveThirtyEight, Trafalgar was the second most accurate pollster in terms of the margins compared to the final results, despite only having a 50% rate of calling races correctly.^{[15] [https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trafalgar_Group]}

^{Unfortunately, the pollster say it looking up for the tyrannical Gavin Newsom, but much closer than all other recent Democrat biased polls:}

Dates	Pollster	Sample		Keep	Remove	Leader	Adjusted Leader
Sep. 2-10	B Data for Progress	2,464	LV	57%	43%	Keep +14	Keep +14
Sep. 7-8	A SurveyUSA	930	LV	54%	41%	Keep +13	Keep +15
Sep. 6-7	B+ Suffolk University	500	LV	58%	41%	Keep +17	Keep +16
Aug. 30-Sep. 6	B/C University of California, Berkeley	6,550	LV	60%	39%	Keep +22	Keep +18
Sep. 2-4	A- Trafalgar Group	1,079	LV	53%	43%	Keep +10	Keep +11
Aug. 27-Sep. 1	B+ YouGov	1,955	LV	56%	44%	Keep +12	Keep +13
Aug. 26-29	A- Trafalgar Group	1,088	LV	52%	44%	Keep +8	Keep +9
Aug. 20-29	A/B Public Policy Institute of California	1,080	LV	58%	39%	Keep +19	Keep +16
Aug. 26-28	A SurveyUSA	816	LV	51%	43%	Keep +8	Keep +10
Aug. 25-27	B Gravis Marketing	729	LV	49%	44%	Keep +5	Keep +7
Aug. 23-25	B/C Targoz Market Research	787	LV	52%	42%	Keep +10	Keep +10
Aug. 22-25	B- Change Research	782	LV	57%	42%	Keep +15	Keep +13
Aug. 20-22	B/C Redfield & Wilton Strategies	1,000	LV	51%	43%	Keep +8	Keep +9
Aug. 6-12	B+ YouGov	1,534	LV	52%	48%	Keep +4	Keep +5
Aug. 2-4	A SurveyUSA	613	LV	40%	51%	Remove +11	Remove +9
Jul. 30-Aug. 1	A- Emerson College	1,000	LV	48%	46%	Keep +3	Keep +3
Jul. 27-29	Core Decision Analytics	731	LV	51%	44%	Keep +7	Keep +6
Jul. 18-24	B/C University of California, Berkeley	2,783	LV	50%	47%	Keep +3	Tie
Jul. 19-20	A- Emerson College	1,085	RV	48%	43%	Keep +5	Keep +5
Jun. 11-16	B- Change Research	1,085	RV	54%	40%	Keep +14	Keep +12
Jun. 1-3	B/C Moore Information	682	LV	46%	49%	Remove +3	Remove +1
May 21-30	B/C Tulchin Research	1,168	LV	52%	38%	Keep +14	Keep +13
May 9-18	A/B Public Policy Institute of California	1,074	LV	57%	40%	Keep +17	Keep +14
Apr. 29-May 5	B/C University of California, Berkeley	10,289	RV	49%	36%	Keep +13	Keep +10
Apr. 30-May 2	A SurveyUSA	642	RV	47%	36%	Keep +11	Keep +13
Apr. 15-19	C/D McLaughlin & Associates	1,000	LV	45%	45%	Tie	Keep +3
Mar. 14-23	A/B Public Policy Institute of California	1,174	LV	56%	40%	Keep +16	Keep +13
Mar. 16-19	B/C Probolsky Research	520	LV	53%	35%	Keep +18	Keep +16
Mar. 12-14	A- Emerson College	1,045	RV	42%	38%	Keep +4	Keep +4
Feb. 12-14	B/C WPA Intelligence	645	LV	43%	47%	Remove +4	Remove +1
Jan. 23-29	B/C University of California, Berkeley	7,172	LV	49%	36%	Keep +13	Keep +1

^{[https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/california-recall-polls/]} 

^{Trafalgar shows there are 4% undecided plus 43% for the recall versus 53% for keeping Newsom. They are not good number, but with all the other polls saying it is a landslide for Newsom to win maybe Democrat turnout might be low and the undecided will most go against the current governor. Pray for California and if you are in our state vote against the tyrant.} 

 ^{Pray an Our Father now for reparation for the sins committed because of Francis's Amoris Laetitia.}

Pray an Our Father now for the restoration of the Church as well as the Triumph of the Kingdom of the Sacred Heart and the Immaculate Heart of Mary.

Stop for a moment of silence, ask Jesus Christ what He wants you to do now and next. In this silence remember God, Father, Son and Holy Ghost - Three Divine Persons yet One God, has an ordered universe where you can know truth and falsehood as well as never forget that He wants you to have eternal happiness with Him as his son or daughter by grace. Make this a practice. By doing this you are doing more good than reading anything here or anywhere else on the Internet.

Francis Notes:

- Doctor of the Church St. Francis de Sales totally confirmed beyond any doubt the possibility of a heretical pope and what must be done by the Church in such a situation:

"[T]he Pope... WHEN he is EXPLICITLY a heretic, he falls ipso facto from his dignity and out of the Church, and the Church MUST either deprive him, or, as some say, declare him deprived, of his Apostolic See."
(The Catholic Controversy, by St. Francis de Sales, Pages 305-306)

Saint Robert Bellarmine, also, said "the Pope heretic is not deposed ipso facto, but must be declared deposed by the Church."
[https://archive.org/stream/SilveiraImplicationsOfNewMissaeAndHereticPopes/Silveira%20Implications%20of%20New%20Missae%20and%20Heretic%20Popes_djvu.txt]

- "If Francis is a Heretic, What should Canonically happen to him?": http://www.thecatholicmonitor.com/2020/12/if-francis-is-heretic-what-should.html

- "Could Francis be a Antipope even though the Majority of Cardinals claim he is Pope?": http://www.thecatholicmonitor.com/2019/03/could-francis-be-antipope-even-though.html

 -  LifeSiteNews, "Confusion explodes as Pope Francis throws magisterial weight behind communion for adulterers," December 4, 2017:

The AAS guidelines explicitly allows "sexually active adulterous couples facing 'complex circumstances' to 'access the sacraments of Reconciliation and the Eucharist.'"

-  On February 2018, in Rorate Caeli, Catholic theologian Dr. John Lamont:

"The AAS statement... establishes that Pope Francis in Amoris Laetitia has affirmed propositions that are heretical in the strict sense."

- On December 2, 2017, Bishop Rene Gracida:

"Francis' heterodoxy is now official. He has published his letter to the Argentina bishops in Acta Apostlica Series making those letters magisterial documents."

Pray an Our Father now for the restoration of the Church by the bishops by the grace of God.

Election Notes:  

- Intel Cryptanalyst-Mathematician on Biden Steal: "212Million Registered Voters & 66.2% Voting,140.344 M Voted...Trump got 74 M, that leaves only 66.344 M for Biden" [http://catholicmonitor.blogspot.com/2020/12/intel-cryptanalyst-mathematician-on.html?m=1]

- Will US be Venezuela?: Ex-CIA Official told Epoch Times "Chávez started to Focus on [Smartmatic] Voting Machines to Ensure Victory as early as 2003": http://catholicmonitor.blogspot.com/2020/12/will-us-be-venezuela-ex-cia-official.html

- Tucker Carlson's Conservatism Inc. Biden Steal Betrayal is explained by “One of the Greatest Columns ever Written" according to Rush: http://catholicmonitor.blogspot.com/2021/01/tucker-carlsons-conservatism-inc-biden.html?m=1

 

- A Hour which will Live in Infamy: 10:01pm November 3, 2020:
http://www.thecatholicmonitor.com/2021/01/a-hour-which-will-live-in-infamy-1001pm.html?m=1

 

What is needed right now to save America from those who would destroy our God given rights is to pray at home or in church and if called to even go to outdoor prayer rallies in every town and city across the United States for God to pour out His grace on our country to save us from those who would use a Reichstag Fire-like incident to destroy our civil liberties. [Is the DC Capitol Incident Comparable to the Nazi Reichstag Fire Incident where the German People Lost their Civil Liberties?: http://catholicmonitor.blogspot.com/2021/01/is-dc-capital-incident-comparable-to.html?m=1 and Epoch Times Show Crossroads on Capitol Incident: "Anitfa 'Agent Provocateurs'":
http://catholicmonitor.blogspot.com/2021/01/epoch-times-show-crossroads-on-capital.html?m=1] 

Pray an Our Father now for the grace to know God's Will and to do it.

 

Pray an Our Father now for America.

 

Pray an Our Father now for the restoration of the Church as well as the Triumph of the Kingdom of the Sacred Heart and the Immaculate Heart of Mary.