COVID Death Toll Super Juicing: "How it’s NECESSARY to stay Locked Down. Because People Died in the Past."

Today, the Catholic Monitor was honored to have renowned statistician Dr. William Briggs post a comment in the piece "Are the Conservative Catholic Media Jumping off the Coronavirus Hysteria Love Boat?" where we were in part thinking of him when we said:

"[T]he only ones bringing out the facts about the hoax were a few courageous scientists and scholars with the non-Francis traditionalists such as Walker, Ann Barnhardt, Br. Alexis Bugnolo and others reporting their evidence that the hysteria was a hoax despite the insults." [https://catholicmonitor.blogspot.com/2020/04/are-conservative-catholic-media-jumping.html]

It is an honor because Dr. Briggs is one of the great heroes in the fight against the coronavirus hysteria tyranny. In my opinion, when the real history books are written he should have a chapter for his courage and brilliance in combating the totalitarian lockdowns.

The great scholar George Gilder who is one of the leading economic and technological thinkers of the past forty years mentioned his statistical work in destroying the coronavirus hysteria tyranny narrative:

"The pandemic of doom erupted as a panic of pols and is now a comedy of Mash-minded med admins and stooges, covering their ifs ands and butts with ever more morbid and distorted statistics."

"The crisis now will hit the politicians and political Doctor Faucis who gullibly accepted and trumpeted what statistician William Briggs calls 'the most colossal and costly blown forecast of all time.'”
[https://www.aier.org/article/an-egregious-statistical-horror-story-suffused-with-incense-and-lugubrious-accents/]

Dr. Briggs, who is a consultant and adjunct Professor of Statistics at Cornell University with specialties in medicine and philosophy of science, has confirmed that the government is juicing the coronavirus death tolls:

"[P]eople are being recorded as dying from other things at a smaller rate than usual. Either coronavirus deaths are being juiced, or people aren't dying of other things at the same rates and being killed instead by coronavirus."
[WMBriggs.com, "Coronavirus Update X: Juicing the Numbers, Prolonging the Pain," April 21, 2020]

(And by the way, if you want to learn more about calculus which is apparently needed for real statistical work please read Dr. Briggs' "Calculus AP Editon." PearsonSchool.com reported: "Renowned authors, William Briggs and Lyle Cochran have built from the ground up a program specifically for AP Calculus teachers... In collaboration with more than 90 academic experts and classroom practitioners the authors' balance rigor and intuition.")
[PearsonSchool.com, "Common Core State Standards - Pearson"]

Today, the renowned statistician posted in the Monitor comment section:

"William M. Briggs said...

You might be interested in some in-depth stats on the whole thing https://wmbriggs.com/post/30541/4:16 PM [https://catholicmonitor.blogspot.com/2020/04/are-conservative-catholic-media-jumping.html]

Below is a small taste of Dr. Briggs' humor and statistical insights on the super juicing of the coronavirus sacred death tolls without which the tyrants couldn't have their totalitarian lock downs from the link he gave us:

"Month or so back I predicted coronavirus models would be treated like global warming models. In them, the modelers are always “discovering” new lower temperatures in the past (to make our times hotter). In the same way, and in order not to admit model failure, they’d have to make up the corona body deficit. Models said around median 175 thousand dead in the US even with full lockdowns."

"I’ll repeat that: even with full lockdowns."

"When it became clear we weren’t coming anywhere near the original huge numbers, Fauci first modified the forecast. Like a proctologist discovering his missing pen, he pulled '60,000' out of his…stethoscope. Nobody questioned him on how he arrived at that figure."

"Even that number began to look doubtful, though, as we saw. That’s when they switched from 'dying form' to 'dying with'. When that wasn’t enough, we heard of “dying with suspicion”. Remember that NYC 'discovered' a few thousand deaths they called coronavirus, but which were never measured? Or did we already forget?"

"Even NYC’s 'discovery' wasn’t enough. I predicted that since you can’t make up dead bodies, like you can with Chicago voters, for total all-death counts, they’d have to reclassify some older deaths as COVID."

"They’re doing it!"

"Headline: U.S. deaths soared in early weeks of pandemic, far exceeding number attributed to covid-19 (long quote)"

In the early weeks of the coronavirus epidemic, the United States recorded an estimated 15,400 excess deaths, nearly two times as many as were publicly attributed to covid-19 at the time, according to an analysis of federal data conducted for The Washington Post by a research team led by the Yale School of Public Health.

The excess deaths – the number beyond what would normally be expected for that time of year – occurred during March and through April 4, a time when 8,128 coronavirus deaths were reported.

The excess deaths are not necessarily attributable directly to covid-19, the disease caused by the coronavirus. They could include people who died because of the epidemic but not from the disease, such as those who were afraid to seek medical treatment for unrelated illnesses, as well as some number of deaths that are part of the ordinary variation in the death rate. The count is also affected by increases or decreases in other categories of deaths, such as suicides, homicides and motor vehicle accidents.

But in any pandemic, higher-than-normal mortality is a starting point for scientists seeking to understand the full impact of the disease.

The Yale analysis for the first time estimates excess deaths, both nationally and in each state, in those five weeks. Relying on data that the National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) released Friday, the analysis paints a picture of unusually high mortality that will come into sharper view as more data becomes available.

The analysis calculates excess deaths by using a model to estimate how many people probably would have died absent the pandemic, and then subtracting that number from the overall deaths reported by the NCHS.

The analysis suggests that the deaths announced in the weeks leading up to April 4, based on reports from state public health departments, failed to capture the full impact of the pandemic. Those incomplete numbers were widely cited at a time when many states were making critical decisions about closing businesses and taking other actions to stem the spread of the virus.

The analysis also suggests that the death toll from the pandemic is significantly higher than has been reported, said Daniel Weinberger, a Yale professor of epidemiology and the leader of the research team. As of Sunday, more than 54,000 people had been killed by the novel coronavirus, according to numbers reported by state health departments and compiled by The Washington Post.

"They did stick a caveat in there. Why not? It will be forgotten instantly. 'The excess deaths are not necessarily attributable directly to covid-19'. Yep. They could have been caused by, oh I don’t known, flu, as is usual. But no one will remember this clarification. Only the higher death 'toll' will be quoted."

"Now 'excess deaths' are calculated via statistical modeling, as we saw. These are statistical deaths. Not verified deaths. Yes, it’s 'usual practice'. But it does not follow that usual practice equates to good practice. See, e.g., p-values. There is never proof in these models the peaks we see every fall are all caused by flu, that’s just an assumption. It’s usually not a terrible assumption. The assumption is now the peak was coronavirus. This is less justified, for all the reasons we’ve discussed over the past six weeks."

"I believe, however, that if you add the flu numbers, which before CDC had reported around 24 thousand for the season, and which they stopped reporting on the main flu page, to the juiced numbers we have, we’ll make the 60,000, and we might even be somewhat closer to the face-saving 100,000, the original lower bound."

"This must be done! Can you imagine modelers stepping up the mic and saying 'Oops. Sorry for the multiple trillions lost and millions of lives ruined and worse. We forgot to divide by 2.'”

"Besides embarrassment, is there another reason for the 'discovery' of extra deaths? You bet!

Here’s that reason: ‘”The national tally also shapes the public’s perception of how serious the disease is, and therefore how necessary it is to continue social distancing despite economic disruption.'”

"How it’s NECESSARY to stay locked down. Because people died in the past."

"Before we leave this topic, note that that newly “discovered” deaths are not yet included in the official totals. Those are still just “dying with suspicion.” Be interesting to guess if and when this move will be made." [https://wmbriggs.com/post/30541/]

The coronavirus hysteria it appears is a new religion for the Goddess Coronavirus.

This new goddess even has the Sacred Death Toll Ten Commandments:

1. I am the illness almighty, thou shalt not have not have any illness unless it's me.

2. Thou shalt not take the name of the illness almighty in vain by claiming anyone dies of any other illness.

3. Remember to keep unholy the Sabbath day because of the Sacred Social Distancing even though thou shalt set it aside for the sake of the Sacred Abortion or for the sake of paying at the Sacred Big Corporation store cash register.

4. Honor thy Sacred Government's Lockdown by banning of the Mass and all Christian religious services.

5. Thou shalt not be killed unless it is added to the Sacred Government Coronavirus Death Toll.

6. Thou shalt not commit adding to the death tolls of other illnesses for all deaths shalt only be added to the coronavirus death toll.

7. Thou shalt not steal numbers from the illness almighty sacred death toll even if they die from other illnesses.

8. Thou shalt not bear true witness against the illness almighty.

9. Thou shalt cover-up any deaths that are not attributed to the illness almighty.

10. Thou shalt cover-up that almost no one knows of a neighbor who has died of coronavirus unless they were already sickly and old.

Pray an Our Father now for the restoration of the Mass and the Church as well as for the Triumph of the Kingdom of the Sacred Heart of Jesus and the Immaculate Heart of Mary